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CTHmodules
Psychohistory, coded: Quantify history, predict civilization.
Pitch

CTHmodules is an open-source framework that transforms history into auditable data, providing insights into socio-historical dynamics. By utilizing advanced computational methods, it allows for the quantification and simulation of historical events, paving the way for predictive civilizational engineering.

Description

CTHmodules: Psychohistory in Code – Quantify History, Forecast Futures

CTHmodules is an open-source JavaScript framework for tetrasociohistorical analysis — a rigorous, auditable step toward Isaac Asimov's Psychohistory. It transforms descriptive history into quantifiable metrics, diagnoses present dynamics, and projects probabilistic futures using transparent complexity science.

Core Vision

Move beyond storytelling:

  • Past → Auditable data
  • Present → Technical diagnosis
  • Future → Manageable probabilities

Built on real math: Shannon Entropy, non-linear dynamics, high-density Monte Carlo simulations (50k+ iterations in deep-zoom mode), and dynamic inference to handle fragmented datasets without bias.

Tetrasociohistorical Context (CTH Index)

Quantifies any event across four dimensions with dynamic weighting:

  • Historical Epoch (E): GDP/capita, political density, technological level
  • Social Range (S): Income inequality, literacy, cultural cohesion
  • Age Range (A): Life expectancy, birth rates, generational pressure
  • Population Range (P): Density, urbanization, migration flows

Computed across 5 temporal phases (Before → Prelude → During → Transition → After) to capture ΔCTH (context variation) and reveal systemic patterns.

Key Engines & Features

  • Strategic Orchestrator (Core.js) → Weighted ultra-synthesis of all engines; outputs high-certainty trajectories, risk indices, and strategic recommendations.
  • Cognitive Bridge (Bridge.js) → Converts raw narratives/news into structured CTH data (LLM-augmented or standalone).
  • Butterfly Field & Chaos Resilience → Maps non-linear causal drifts, detects fragility, and scores post-disruption recovery.
  • Stochastic Projection Engine → Master predictor with Monte Carlo refinement for robust probabilities (RMD: Positive Transformation vs CMN: Decline/Stagnation).
  • Invariance & Pattern Detection → Finds thresholds and recurring "temporal echoes" automatically.

Real-World API – Live & Ready

Public API (one endpoint: /v1/predict) turns natural-language inputs into psychohistorical verdicts in milliseconds.

  • Basic (Free) (Explorer): Test & build (non-commercial)
  • Pro ($9.99/mo): Higher limits for professionals
  • Ultra ($29.99/mo): Institutional scale
  • Mega ($99.99/mo): Large enterprises

Use cases:

  • Geopolitical forecasting (e.g., US-China 2028)
  • Macro risk (e.g., Argentina 2026)
  • Crypto/market trajectories (e.g., Bitcoin 2027)
  • Corporate survival (AI startups)
  • Historical backtesting ("What if Berlin Wall never fell?")

All revenue reinvested in research & scaling.

Get Started

# Install via npm or clone
git clone https://github.com/AlejoMalia/CTHmodules.git
  • License: CC BY-NC-SA 4.0 (non-commercial open-source)
  • Docs & theory: cthmodules.cc
  • GitHub: AlejoMalia/cthmodules
  • Npm: npmjs.com/package/cthmodules
  • API: rapidapi.com/alejomalia/api/cthmodules
  • Join the push: Collaborate on scaling engines, integrating LLMs, or applying to real-world foresight. Test it quantify history today!
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